Presidential election shows a change in CA vote models

From And WaltersCalmness

This comment was originally published by CalmattersS Register about their ballots.

For the last eight months, since Donald Trump fired Kamala Harris In order to regain the presidency, democratic politicians, political interest groups and media professionals of all stripes discussed what happened and why.

Deep dives who voted, and sometimes why they usually concluded that Harris has lost a decisive reason – compared to the rejection of Trump since 2000 of Joe Biden – among the younger voters of men, especially Latinos Both blacks could not generate enough support among other demographic groups, such as women to compensate for losses.

“Overall, Harris performed six points worse among men than Biden,” Extensive analysis from Cook’s political report declared. “But this dropping was significantly more pronounced among Latin American men (-12) and black men (-7). Among white men without a college group, which is traditionally the least friendly for Democrats-slipping was the least dramatic (-3).

“Despite the historical nature of her candidacy as the first colorful woman nominated for president, women congratulated this fact on more shoulders,” Cook continued. “Harris’s share of women among women was basically the same as Share Biden received in 2020, except for a noticeable decline in support of Latinas. It also slightly lower than Biden’s involvement among the Asian and Pacific Islands (-4) and failed to do better with black women than the blacks than the blacks than

California, one of the most blue countries in the country, was not immunized against the political hem that did not doom Harris’s campaign, although she was a California, who was the state prosecutor and the US senator before becoming Biden’s vice president.

Voters in 10 counties in California, who supported Biden against Trump in 2000, moved to Trump last year, and a new analysis of the vote in California shows that the state sees the same dynamics as the nation as a whole.

“After years of reducing the shares of registered voters, they choose a Republican as their party registration, young Californians have begun to move to the Republican Party in the last years of the elections, while the more duty Californians continue to move away,” Analysis by the Inclusive Democracy Center He declares at the University of South California.

“The young registered voters of all racial and ethnic groups saw significantly more changes to the Republican Party than their older colleagues. However, Latin, the youth noted a particularly great growth in the registration of the Republican Party between the presidential election.”

He continued: “While Vice President Kamala Harris received 58.5% of all votes filed in the California General Election in 2024, President Donald Trump received 38.3% of the vote, the smallest difference in the party voting (20.2 percentage points) from before 2008.”

While the Republicans have apparently acquired a position in California last year – and reasonably did well in the congress and legislative elections – new data generate two questions: Why did they happen and what does it do for the future?

“Inflation is perhaps the biggest thing,” says Eric McGi, a political analyst at the Institute of Public Policy in California, during Webinar, to introduce the study.

This is the widespread conviction that a sharp increase in the cost of living during the Biden-Haris administration is a big factor in the change of pro-Trump, as younger voters believe the clip of inflation more than their elders.

Don’t be fooled. California is still a very blue state. It is unlikely that Republicans who have once been dominant will regain sufficient reason to re -award the electoral votes of the state to a candidate for President of GOP in the foreseeable future.

However, for some reason there were the right leap of young voters of flower voters, as the Baby Boomer Democrats are coming out of the political scene, California policy can become much less predictable and much healthier.

This article was Originally Published on CalMatters and was reissued under Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Noderivatives License.