Trump’s tariffs and deportations overshadow the economic prospects of the Internal Empire

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The confusion caused by President Donald Trump’s tariffs blurred the economic forecast of the Internal Empire, while wineries and other companies are facing an upcoming trade war.

The Economic Association of the Internal Empire has recently published its economic prospects, which show the pessimism of consumers before Trump’s economic policies. Consumer Trust Index collapsed in FebruaryS

“Undoubtedly, tariffs can and will probably have a negative effect on the economy of the Internal Empire,” says Paul Granilo, CEO of the Economic Association of the Internal Empire. “These prices move to the consumer, so people buy less … If tariffs cause trade war and decline in the export of China or other countries, it will affect the internal empire.”

However, the report offers some good news: its authors do not expect a recession this year.

“There are currently no alarm signs in the main economic indicators,” said Manfred Kiele, Robert Kleinchenz and Kenneth P. Miller, researchers at Claremont Mckenna College, who wrote the report.

We have to say from the outset that this year, more than most of the previous years, our forecast is more uncertain. This is because President Trump has announced certain policies (such as rates for Mexico and Canada), only for delay them Shortly after.

Although tariffs can suppress economic growth, Trump’s periodic plans to impose them are particularly confused for anyone trying to administer stocks or hire workers.

“People don’t like insecurity and certainly employers don’t like them,” Granilo said.

This instability can affect the storage and logistics sector, Key industries In the Counts Riverside and San Bernardino. It is there that the giants of Amazon, Walmart and Target are distributed imported products from Los Angeles and Long Beach ports in the rest of the country.

Impact on deportation

Other Trump policies may also affect the region’s economic prospects.

Mass deportations of immigrants could reduce the construction power of construction while angels try to restore more than 16,000 structures that have been burned In the fires of Palisades and Ethan in January. In addition, tariffs can limit construction supplies from Canada, the report warns.

“Canadian wood is an important part of the home construction industry; with the rates and the current state of the relationship between the Trump and Canada administration, this is problematic,” Granilo said. “And many industries – health, hospitality, construction – depending on immigrant labor. This will cause and increase the cost of construction.”

The report warns that tariffs have another detrimental effect in the tourism sector of the Coachela Valley. The loss of prestige is the leading some Canadian visitors to cancel His trips to the United States.

“The Coachela Valley is the Winter House of Thousands of Canadians,” Granilo said. “And many of them decide not to come to the United States because of the tension between the Trump and Canada administration.”

Granilo said he was trying to get numbers to cancel the vacation and indicated that “this is happening in real time right now.”

Palm Springs Mayor, Ron Deharte, said he had received several letters from Canadian visitors who claim they would not return to the desert because they were disappointed with the tariffs imposed on Canada. However, he does not know the extent of this situation.

He Washington Post Posted on Sunday Letters from some of these emigrants That this year they decide to move elsewhere. Most of the cards, as usual, are educated, despite the boycott.

This article was originally published by CalmattersS