The hottest trend in speedrunning is the coin flip


Unfair fluctuations He is A game about flipping a coin. Although designed around random chance, it has a vibrant speedrunning community, racing to see who can reach 10 heads the fastest.

This is the only goal. You earn money with each photo and can spend that on four things: a more valuable currency, a combo multiplier for photo lines, a faster flip time, and an increased photo chance, which starts at 20 percent and goes up to a maximum of 60 percent. When you are lucky enough, you flip 10 heads. Until then, the only thing you can do is keep flipping the coin. The current world record took 96 flips, 2 minutes and 52 seconds by a fast runner passing through Rafspect. It was, he says, “almost complete luck.”

But only approximately. An ideal run would be pure luck – it’s theoretically possible for someone to load the game and flip 10 heads in a row instantly, finishing it in about 20 seconds. The odds of this happening are a hair less than one in 20 million. But the thing about probability is that if enough players try long enough, it eventually becomes statistically probable. Even then, there are some things that can give a runner an advantage, especially in terms of promotion strategy. The Discord community that originally grew up around some of developer Heather Flowers’ previous games now has dedicated channels for discovering the perfect approach. “It may sound crazy to talk about the ‘nuance’ of a coin flip, but it’s been a huge help,” Rafspect says.

One of the community’s number crunchers, Laika, has created a spreadsheet that calculates how much money you make based on the combo multiplier and the value of the coin. “I was hoping it would help us understand the game better and develop the best strategy for buying upgrades,” she says, but she tells me the only concrete finding so far is that it’s not worth buying a second combo multiplier before upgrading the currency twice. In other words, Unfair fluctuations Not a solved game.

Not without the use of additional software, anyway. But a player named Four spent about 20 hours over one weekend proving that it was possible to force a perfect run by cracking the seed of a random number generator to find one where it was predetermined that a coin would land heads 10 times. An alternative option would be to find out the ideal time to start stirring by using the software to “watch” the figure in the background sipping their drink, since this is also partly random. (The character’s name is Gar, and the drink is Milk, though you won’t find those details in the game, which revolves around just tossing a coin and flipping a coin.) It’s estimated that this will take “days or weeks,” but since the quick-start timer only starts on the first toss, the run itself will be less than 20 seconds.

“You’re literally just exploiting random chance.”

A more realistic tactic than just watching a masked man drink milk is the multiplayer tactic. Players unlock multiple versions of the game after their first header, and if there are none, they can try again by starting the exit process in the original version and then canceling it by muting and unmuting the game instead, resetting the save. “This process takes about three to four minutes if you’re really good with the technology,” says Flowers. These runs are listed separately, and the world record is currently 2:51, one second faster than Rafspect’s pure luck world record.

Unfair fluctuations It is a game that directly addresses our relationship with probability as humans and in the gaming industry. “It’s saying, ‘How little game can someone do while maintaining the same level of compulsion to keep playing?’ Flowers tell me. “It’s very much inspired by other gambling games that have come up in the last few years and is a shortened version of the silly ad – the smaller, sillier version.”
There’s not supposed to be a way to cheat the game’s inherent randomness. “I think the phrase people stick with is: There’s no way around these odds. There’s only time,” Flowers says. “I was wrong.”

Although Flowers says she didn’t expect the sprints to be so successful, she believes runners understand her design philosophy. “I think everyone in this community is doing it because they know it’s really funny to play this game particularly quickly, because you’re literally just a random coincidence.” It’s a sentiment echoed to me by most of the racers I spoke to who talked about how they first got into the game. “There is something very silly about flipping coins quickly and without some silliness life would be very boring,” Laika says.

There are other categories for speed running. The game actually has five endings. When you flip nine heads, it will randomly decide whether to flip heads again usually using the percentage chance you currently have. Then, if so, he decides which ending you will get. The leaderboard for the “All Endings” category has one entry, for seven hours by enbyzee.

Screenshot from the video game Unfair Flips.

Photo: Heather Flowers

“(It almost broke me),” she says. “I’ve never had a mental blow from any sprint like (that one). Getting multiple streaks of nine heads in a row only to get tails on the 10th. Getting multiple endings that I already had when I only needed the last unique ending to end the round. It was absolutely brutal.” Although they’ve done longer speedruns before, they always have a lot going on, which keeps things fresh and interesting. Unfair fluctuations no. “I pressed the space bar more than 20,000 times during that run.”

After five hours and four unique endings of playing alone, Enbyzee took a quick break, considered quitting, and decided to continue streaming instead. After just over 90 minutes she got the final ending she needed. “I wanted to scream and cry when it happened. In fact, my sister called me and warned me about being too loud, but I didn’t care because it was over.”

“I pressed the space bar more than 20,000 times during that run.”

Ravspect adds that “hitting those 10 heads feels as good on your first game as it does on the 100th time.” The community comes together in search of that feeling on Flippin’ Fridays. “Every two weeks, we connect, share our passion for this exotic speedway and have a good time,” says Laika. On a recent Friday, MsTruffles was one of the contestants trying to improve her best while broadcasting to the community. In her first ever session running the game, she set the then world record of eight minutes and 20 seconds, her first under 10 minutes. Since then, she says, “I still haven’t been lucky enough to improve my time, even after about a hundred attempts.”

She also adds that Flippin’ Fridays is a good opportunity to bring in new contestants. “It’s an accessible game for speedruns because you don’t have to learn difficult tricks, practice difficult mistakes, or remember complicated steering,” says Laika. “You just flip.”

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