The argument in favor of letting AI burn everything

Suddenly and not Long ago, our most cherished tech industry leaders began suggesting caution. Sam Altman said that AI “absolutely” exists in a bubble, albeit one formed around a “kernel of truth.” Mark Zuckerberg An AI bubble is “quite possible,” he said, although “if models continue to grow in capacity year after year and demand continues to grow, then maybe there won’t be a crash, or something like that.” Even Eric Schmidt says to calm down artificial general intelligence and Focus on competition with China.

The question everyone wants answered is: What will that be like? Bubble Pop? Will we wake up and realize that we don’t really want to talk to LLMs anymore? Will someone find a way to build AI tools at a thousandth of the price, allowing a thousand ChatGPTs to flourish? Will we ever check the news and see those images of stock traders shouting to each other on the stock exchange floor while tech company stock prices flash bright red? My answer is: I have no earthly idea. But I really hope that, one day, AI will become commonplace.

I like regular techniques. They come with manuals. They change periodically, but you can build craft and professional skills around them. Bubble technologies are constantly changing, and there is always the threat of either destroying society (bad) or making everyone rich (worse). There are many ways to predict when a technology will become ordinary – price-to-earnings ratios and other boring stuff. The metric I use is the C/B ratio: conferences to blogging. If people are attending conferences on a topic on a consistent basis, this is not yet normal. If they blog mostly about it, it is. I made this up, but I assure you it is predictive.

I work with AI all day long, and now there are a lot of conferences and gatherings and not a lot of good, boring technical blog posts. Technology industry He loves Conferences, because our product is so abstract that it’s hard for us to know where we stand in the nerd chimpanzee hierarchy. This is why venture capital firms often sponsor meetups; It allows for pheromone exchanges and dominance displays, which are typically activated using PowerPoint. Use the Chatham House rule if you’re feeling miserable.

People sometimes talk about the golden age of blogging, but they talk less about why they started blogging: no one had money, and nothing was cheaper than putting words on the Internet. When money is flying and startups are floundering, conference budgets are often the first thing to go. Nerds still want to talk about their nerd talk. Then they start posting, that’s the only way to know who you are. Eventually, the C/B ratio of AI will start trending toward blogging.

But not yet. We may have a ways to go. The globalized economy, driven by expediency and greed, has become a suspension bridge spanning the globe, suspended from a few giant anchors like OpenAI, Nvidia, and Google, powered by the promise of planetary AI transformation – and if one of these anchors falters, just a little, and the promises fail to materialize, perhaps the cable will dangle and the entire bridge will collapse, and All startups in the field of artificial intelligence (including mine) will fall into the sea. The constant anticipation of this is just one of the many things that has made 2025 so interesting.