Newsom redistribution in CA is facing many obstacles

From And WaltersCalmness

This comment was originally published by CalmattersS Register about their ballots.

Governor Gavin Newo justifies – or rationalizes – his pursuit of Reconfiguring the middle of decades in California congresses As a heroic mission, to thwart President Donald Trump’s power.

Newsom that seems to be Edging is increasingly to a presidential campaign in 2028.He proposes to change the 53 areas of the country to move five or six places that are now held by Republicans into democratic hands during the 2026 election.

If successful, it would neutralize the efforts of Texas Republicans to Gerimander his areas to receive a similar number of places. Republicans hold a majority of paper in the House of Representatives and Trump has sought redistribution in the mid -decades in Texas and other red countries to block Democrats to gain control in 2026.

The situation in Texas is in the limbs because democratic legislators have escaped from the state, but how long they can last is not clear. Newsom play hosting some Texas Democrats last week while he talks about actions in California that will require approval of voters in November special electionS

“I think the voters will approve of it. I think the voters understand what is set,” Newsom said on Friday. “We live in the worst-trump state in America.”

Well, maybe, but the democratic Gerimander in the California areas will not be as easy as the Republican Gerimander in Texas.

In Texas, as in most countries, the legislature controls redistribution. Under his current maps, which came into force after the 2020 census, the Republicans hold 25 of their 38 seats, the Democrats have 12 and there is one vacant position.

Ironically, Democrats do a lot better in Texas than Republicans in California, where GOP owns only nine of the 53rd places of the country under maps drawn by AN Independent committeeS Newsom, supported by democratic legislative leaders, wants voters to cancel the committee cards for Three three cycles of election And approve a new plan with more democratic areas.

If Texas moves forward, the proposal, which is not shared publicly, will require the legislature in California to put it on the newsletter after MPs return next week from a summer vacation – and only four days to act in accordance with the current legislation. However, the legislature is often released from the voting terms, so it must be assumed that the proposal will make the newsletter.

This is the easy part for Newsom. He will still have to persuade voters who are no more than cool despite Trump’s unpopularity in California, According to the private voteS

Former governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, who supports the establishment of an independent redistribution committee, says He will oppose the Newsom plan and Charles Mander -Jr., a rich scientist who based two measures to vote to set up the committee, says he will support an opposition campaignS

Given the bets, Trump and Republicans would probably flood the state with money from the opposition campaign, while Democrats would do the same, with even more money coming from unions and other democratic allies.

NEWSOM also faces the possibility of legitimate battles, such as questions about what data it uses to attract new areas.

The State Commission uses numbers from The 2020 censuswhich tied California’s population at 39 538,223. The last Evaluation by the Demographic Unit of the Ministry of Finance is 39 529 000, a small difference. However, there are differences in the state, according to state estimates, with coastal counties tend to lose population while internal cities win.

The areas must be equal to the population – within strict admissible deviations – but also must do not discourage protected ethnic groupsAccording to the Federal Law.

All of these factors can be court dispute bases, perhaps including intervention by the Trump Ministry of Justice. After the 2000 census threat of federal intervention He played a big role in previous efforts to redistribute the legislation in California, blocking Democrats to draw guerrilla cards.

A prolonged lawsuit may block Newsom’s plan to take effect in 2026, even if it receives voter approval this year. This game is just starting.

This article was Originally Published on CalMatters and was reissued under Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Noderivatives License.