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In a statement to X website, the CEO of Kalshi Tariq Mansour He said his company will pay the positions on “Will Ali Khamenei leave the position of Supreme Leader?“At the last traded price before His death. Mansour said Calci does not “list markets directly linked to death” and that its rules are designed to “prevent people from profiting from death.” In addition, Kalshi is returning market-related fees and compensating anyone who bought shares after Khamenei’s death.
Some users expressed their anger at the way the situation was handled, claiming that Kalshi’s rules should have been like that Communicate more clearlyOr that their markets should have been formulated more narrowly to avoid confusion. ((Will Khamenei resign?“For example.) Some accuse Calcci of trying to have it both ways by allowing users to bet on Khamenei falling out of power, which they believe will never happen without his death, but they refuse to pay people’s bets in full to boost their bets.” Bottom line.
While Mansour defended the importance of a market for Khamenei, he said that “having a market that directly settles on someone’s death” is not allowed under US regulations. Unlike PolymarketCalci does not appear to have allowed one market to bet on when or whether the United States will launch another Military strike on Iran.
“Polymarket does not appear to have changed payments on its peer market.”Khamenei will step down as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?“However, it is not clear whether this bet is available to users in the US at this time. Neither Calci nor Polymarket responded to requests for clarification or additional comment.