IBM CEO does not believe that artificial intelligence will replace programmers anytime soon

The CEO of IBM Arvind Krishna says that despite the Trump administration AttacksWorld trade is not dead. In fact, it is believed that the US key to growth will adopt an international exchange of goods.

“So, in fact, I am a strong believer – I think it is due to economists who studied world trade in the nineteenth century – and I think their point of view was, every 10 % increase in global trade leads to a 1 % increase in local GDP,” Krishna said during an interview with SXSW on Tuesday. “Therefore, if we really want to improve even for local (growth), you have a global trade.”

Krishna said that global trade is moving alongside external talent to flow to the United States. The administration and its allies called for increasing restrictions on student and H-1B work visasThey claim to have put the American citizens in a non -favorable situation.

“We want people to come here and attend their talents with them and apply this talent,” Krishna said. “We want to develop our own talent as well, but you cannot develop it also if you don’t bring the best people from all over the world to learn from our people as well. So we must be an international center for talents, and we must have policies that correspond to it.”

During the large-scale interview, Krishna not only knocked but also from artificial intelligence, which is believed to be a valuable technique-but there is no drug.

He did not agree to a The latest prediction of Dario AmodeiThe CEO of Anthropor, that 90 % of the code may be written by artificial intelligence in the three months to the next.

“I think the number will be more like a 20-30 % of the code that artificial intelligence can write-and not 90 %,” Krishna said. “Are there really some simple use cases? Yes, but there is a complex number of things that will be zero.”

Krishna said he believed that artificial intelligence will eventually make programmers more productive, which enhances their outputs and employers instead of eliminating programming functions, and some critics of artificial intelligence expected.

“If you can do a 30 % symbol with the same number of people, will you get more code or less?” He said. “Since history has shown that the most productive companies acquire the market share, and then you can produce more products, allowing you to get more market share.”

It was granted, IBM has a firm interest in providing artificial intelligence as not threatened. The company sells a range of products and services operating in Amnesty International, including auxiliary coding tools.

The phrases are also a little reflection of our Crishna, who said in 2023 that IBM Plans to stop employment In the functions of the back office that the company expected it can replace artificial intelligence technology.

Krishna compared the discussions about Amnesty International, which replaces workers with early discussions on calculators and Photoshop to replace mathematicians and artists. He acknowledged that there are “unnamed” challenges about intellectual property as it comes to training and Amnesty International, but in the end, technology is a positive and increasing force.

“It is a tool,” Krishna said of artificial intelligence. “If the quality that everyone produces becomes better with these tools, then even for the consumer, then you are now consuming better quality (products).”

This tool will become cheaper, as Krishna predicts. While he pointed out that thinking models such as Openai’s O1 It requires a lot of computing and therefore it is intense energy, and it is believed that artificial intelligence will use “less than 1 %” of the energy it uses today thanks to the emerging technologies such as those shown by the Chinese company AI Dibsic.

“I think Dibsic gave us a preview you can live with a much smaller model,” Krishna said. “Now the question arises, do you still need some great models to start from them? I think this is what Deepseek did not talk about.”

But although artificial intelligence will work on goods, Krishna is not convinced that it will help humanity to reach new knowledge, hesitated. Modern article By embracing the co -founder, co -founder Thomas Wolf. Instead, Krishna believes that quantum computing – a technology that IBM invests greatly, and not for nothing – will be the key to accelerating the scientific discovery.

“You learn artificial intelligence from knowledge, literature, drawings, etc.” Krishna said. “He does not try to know what will come … I am a person who does not think that the current generation of artificial intelligence will make us towards what is called artificial general intelligence … when knowledge can be completely reliable and answering questions that go beyond those responsible for Einstein or Obenheimer or everything Nobel poses.”

Krishna’s assurances are in contrast to the CEO of Openai Sam Altman, who argued. “Superintelligent“Amnesty International is within a possibility over the next few years and can Wide acceleration of innovation.