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“The crisis is a terrible thing to lose,” Stanford economist Paul Romer told a venture capital seminar 21 years agoReferring to increasing levels of education in other countries that would make them more competitive to the United States.
Romer’s comment was transformed into a political slogan when Ram Emanuel, the President of Barack Obama’s victory manager in 2008, attributed him to the operation of popular anger over a deep recession.
“You never want a serious crisis to waste,” Emanuel told an interviewer.
Despite the implied cynicism of the remark, crises – either real or simply perceived – can make or violate a political career as news media and public voting judges how those who hold or strive for position respond.
John F. Kennedy Cool discouragement of the Cuban rocket crisis For example, in 1962 was the determining moment of his Presidency. Gray Davis got up Only manager of California to be recalled After a cumbersome response to a budget crisis and a financial collapse of the electricity system.
At this point, California faces two crises: terribly destructive and deadly Wild fires in Los Angeles County and fears that the president Donald Trump Either he will deny federal relief, or he will use it as a leverage to force California to change his policies.
The political figure, which is mostly affected by the twin crises, is governor Gavin Newpom, who simultaneously begs Trump to send California many billions of dollars and positions himself as a leader of Trump’s presidential resistance and a potential presidential candidate for 2028.
How Newsom juggles these two conflict roles Can he determine not only how his governance is remembered, but also whether his political career extends beyond his last two years of service.
The Wildfire crisis is already threatening the career of another politician, Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass. She had left her city for a ceremonial visit to Ghana, despite warnings that Los Angeles was in a critical danger of fire and, after her return, was widely criticized for her initial absence and the shortcomings of the city’s fire service.
Politico reports a poll has identified this 54% of Los Angeles residents do not approve of bass handling from the fire crisis while 37% approve of. The poll was ordered by Madison McQueen, a local media company with republican relations. In a note, its President Owen Brennan said: “Instead of following predictable guerrilla models, the voters in LA are fed by failure and require more competence than their chosen employees.”
Read more: Why does Karen Bass get so much wines for La Fires, but the district supervisors so little?
However, other political figures do not lose the opportunities offered by twins of California, as Emanuel suggested. The chief of them is the Attorney General SlaveS He is widely expected to run for governor Next year, and although he refused to say in one way or another, he has tirelessly sought public and media attention.
Months Bont’s office was Issuing Daily Press messagesS But last week, as the fires were burning and Trump was doing what Trump was doing, the production of the media staff was shifted to a higher degree.
On Friday, it has spread four reports of the press announcing Trump’s policies on immigration, LGBTQ rights, air pollution and abortion. He coincided with the four sent in each of the previous two days, with the total amount for the month to 48 and still counting.
Another politician who can benefit from the crisis is Supervisor of Los Angeles County Catherine BargerThe only Republican in the five -member District Council and its current chairman. This means huge quantities of local and national media attention, especially when Trump made his visit to the fires last week – so much that there is some buzz for her as a possible candidate for 2026 for a governor.